WeatherWatcher: Weekly Weather Forecast, El Niño Watch

Forecast 

El Niño Watch Issued 

Last week's data

Forecast: The next 7 days will slowly transition from our current gray and wet to more summer like weather. We have another band of rain that will blow through from the north overnight. Tuesday will have some morning showers followed by partial clearing. Thursday we might have some more showers as a weak system moves through before high pressure rebuilds. High temperatures will run from the mid-upper 60's and into the mid 70's later in the week and weekend. Our first day of summer should be very nice with mid-upper 70's for a high.

El Niño Watch Issued: The National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center has issued an El Niño watch. This means conditions are favorable for an El Niño to develop lasting through the summer and into next winter. I do not think this will be the "Super El Niño" that the media has been hyping it up to be. The El Niño is not predicted to be moderate, let alone extreme at the moment. That and the fact that the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) is in a cold phase, which tells me a strong or even moderate El Niño is unlikely, as it hasn't really happened in the past 100 years during cold PDO's. As result I am expecting a slightly drier, warmer summer. Late July through August is likely to have more humid days than normal (where the term "muggy" returns.) This also means thunderstorm activity may be increased above normal as well for that period of time.

Last week's data:

High temperature: 77.3°F

Low temperature: 47.8°F

Rainiest day: 0.2 inches

Total rainfall: 0.24 inches

Warmest day: 61.9°F

Coldest day: 54.9°F

Average temperature: 59.1°F

3-year historic average: 57.3°F

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